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An IFPRI analysis says India's July 2023 rice export restrictions have kept global prices elevated, with the Thai white rice benchmark up more than 20% since August 2023. Indian production in 2023/24 beat expectations, and 2024/25 forecasts show higher output and stocks.
India nonetheless keeps its export restrictions in place even after the general elections.
Continued Indian restrictions keep world rice supply constrained, which supports prices for buyers of rice and rice byproducts. Any easing would be a bearish trigger.
ifpri.orgJoseph Glauber, Abdullah Mamun29 Jul 2024Setelah 168 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,8% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +2,1%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
