Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas

Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

• 9 Mei 2024El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+2,7%
• 13 Nov 2023Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal-0,5%
• 22 Feb 2021Dry weather concerns extend from South America into North America+1,6%
• 9 Sep 2021La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1,3%
• 14 Nov 2017La Nina - Dryness stops fieldwork in Argentina+0,2%

Setelah 1.079 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,0%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

• 9 Mei 2024El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+0,1%
• 22 Feb 2021Dry weather concerns extend from South America into North America+2,0%
• 9 Sep 2021La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1,9%
• 14 Nov 2017La Nina - Dryness stops fieldwork in Argentina+2,8%
• 18 Apr 2024IRI Summer Forecast Points to Western Corn Belt Dryness Due to La Nina Influence+1,4%

Setelah 224 peristiwa cuaca netral sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,5%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.

• 13 Jun 2024La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster | Reuters-2,1%
• 30 Agu 2024Limited Rain for Those in Need in South America+4,1%
• 15 Des 2022La Nina Pattern Continues Through December for South America-1,1%
• 12 Mar 2021US summer dryness in 2021 favors north central states | World Grain-0,3%
• 14 Nov 2024US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December | Reuters-0,5%