◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

9 Mei 2024CUACAAmericas

El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster

A U.S. forecaster says El Niño will end by June and La Niña is expected in the second half of 2024. BMI's Sabrin Chowdhury says La Niña could hurt wheat and corn in the US and soybeans, barley, wheat and corn in Latin America.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Expected La Niña drought risk in the US and South America could reduce crop output and support feed grain and oilseed prices. The transition period is seen as a risk for yields.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung▲Kedelai▲Gandum (SRW)▲Barli▲

1 SUMBER
reuters.com9 Mei 2024

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagung▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -0,4%5d +2,7%20d +0,5%

Setelah 1.465 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

8 Feb 2024El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024-1,4%
14 Mei 2026US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-0,4%
12 Sep 2024La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+4,9%
7 Feb 2024Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas | Reuters-1,1%
9 Okt 2025US National Weather Service says La Nina conditions likely to persist through Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 | Reuters-0,9%

Kedelai▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -1,6%5d +0,1%20d -1,1%

Setelah 1.079 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,0%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

8 Feb 2024El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024-1,6%
14 Mei 2026US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-1,3%
12 Sep 2024La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+3,5%
7 Feb 2024Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas | Reuters-1,1%
9 Okt 2025US National Weather Service says La Nina conditions likely to persist through Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 | Reuters-2,2%

Gandum (SRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,1%5d +2,0%20d +6,5%

Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

14 Mar 2024US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+0,4%
8 Jun 2023Extreme weather expected as El Nino climate pattern returns, US forecaster says | Reuters-0,0%
10 Okt 2024US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-0,5%
24 Apr 2026Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 | Reuters+0,2%
6 Mei 2026Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre+3,3%

Barli▲bullish

Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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