
Oil prices fell sharply over two sessions as US President Donald Trump signaled he wants to keep oil flowing out of Iran after brokering a fragile ceasefire between Tehran and Israel. Intermediate crude plunged nearly 15% to settle near $64 a barrel.
Lower crude prices reduce the cost of biofuel feedstocks and diesel, which weakens the energy-linked support for vegetable oils and grain-based feed ingredients. The lower risk premium on Middle East supply points to softer energy prices across the complex.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI plunged nearly 15% over two sessions as Trump signaled he wants Iranian oil to keep flowing, which sums up the cumulative decline.
Crude plunged over two sessions as Trump signaled he wanted Iranian oil to keep flowing, lowering the risk premium.
It covers the two-session plunge, of which the June 23 drop was the first leg, but the ceasefire-driven second leg came after the window.