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MUFG says EUR/USD is heading towards 1.05 after stronger-than-expected US inflation, driven by rents, ruled out a June Fed cut. The euro dipped to just above 1.0720, close to eight-week lows.
MUFG expects the ECB to be cautious, though clearer guidance on a June cut would still weaken the euro.
Markets are pricing out early Fed cuts, which supports the dollar and pressures the euro and dollar-priced commodities. The forecast is a currency call with little direct effect on feed prices.
exchangerates.org.ukTim ClaytonApr 12, 2024After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
