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StoneX fertilizer analyst Josh Linville says China is tightening urea exports while India is seeking more tonnage, and international urea values rose more than $100 per ton over the holiday weekend. He notes that higher urea prices shift demand toward anhydrous and UAN.
Rising urea prices are likely to push US farmers toward cheaper nitrogen alternatives such as anhydrous and UAN, supporting those prices during a large fall application season.
brownfieldagnews.comCarah HartSep 5, 2023After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated the same day as the move, it reports international urea values up over $100/ton over the holiday weekend as China tightens exports and India seeks more tonnage, a direct supply and demand driver.
China tightening urea exports while India seeks more tonnage lifted international urea values by over $100/ton over the holiday weekend, directly explaining the spike.
