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Trade sources in India say China's order to suspend some urea exports will have limited direct impact on India's supply, since its China imports are already small and falling. However, the decision could lift global urea prices, which had already risen about 30% in India between July and August.
Even with limited direct impact on India, the loss of Chinese tonnage and firm Brazilian and Argentine demand point to higher global urea prices and costlier import purchases.
business-standard.comSanjeeb MukherjeeSep 7, 2023After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
