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Wood Mackenzie's April 2024 LNG outlook reports that TTF prices rallied from about $8 to over $10/MMBtu in April before correcting. The rally is attributed to LNG supply disruptions, Middle East tensions, and infrastructure bombing in Ukraine, while Asian LNG kept a premium of about $1 over NW Europe.
Supply disruption and geopolitical risk support global LNG prices, and the Asian premium reflects Atlantic-to-Pacific shipping costs. Feed buyers see the effect mainly through energy and fertilizer input costs.
woodmac.comApr 29, 2024After 74 past bullish report events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -4.0% to +11.3%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
