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EIA data showed US working gas storage rose 120 Bcf in the week ending June 19, well above the 107 Bcf consensus and the five-year average of 73 Bcf. Storage now stands 466 Bcf above the five-year average.
Henry Hub contracts fell sharply, with July down nearly 9 cents.
A larger-than-expected storage build signals a looser gas balance and bearish near-term prices. Cheaper gas lowers power and fertilizer input costs.
After 42 past bearish report events, Urea moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.9% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.