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The Indonesian Palm Oil Association (Gapki) estimates palm oil exports to Europe could rise by 500,000 to one million tonnes under the Indonesia-EU CEPA. The deal would give crude palm oil zero import tariffs within set volumes, with signing planned for 21 November 2026 and implementation targeted for early 2027.
Tariff-free access would widen Indonesian palm oil's share of EU demand and could tighten global palm supply. That would be supportive for palm oil prices, though the timeline is still long.
macroherald.comEnver AdıgüzelNov 12, 2026After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
