
Global equities rose on Monday after the first round of the French election, lifting MSCI's world index to a record. The euro briefly reached a five-month high against the dollar, and the STOXX 50 and CAC 40 posted their biggest gains in years.
The vote result eased fears of a French exit from the EU, supporting the euro and equity risk appetite. Feed commodities are not directly affected by this move.
After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A global risk-on rally and the euro reaching a five-month high show the election outcome driving euro demand on the day.