Loading…
Oil closed at its lowest level since mid-December as concerns about a significant U.S.-Iran escalation receded. Futures fell for a third straight session, and prices held the 50-day moving average.
Analysts saw virtually no impact on oil supply from the missile attacks on U.S. bases.
With no real supply disruption, the market is unwinding the geopolitical premium, keeping crude under pressure. Lower energy prices are a modest tailwind for feed input costs.
bloomberg.comSheela Tobben, Grant SmithJan 9, 2020After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
