
Goldman Sachs expects USD/CNY to fall further, citing optimism around US-China trade talks and a shift from short to long yuan positions. It said the move could be swift and event-driven near term, with the PBOC likely guiding a more gradual adjustment.
A lower USD/CNY, meaning a stronger yuan, can lift Chinese import purchasing power for soybeans and other feed inputs. The forecast is a currency view rather than a direct supply change.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Goldman's call for further USD/CNY declines, with short-to-long yuan position shifts and trade-talk optimism, reflects the sentiment and positioning that contributed to the move.