◂ Event Timeline

Nov 12, 2026REPORTEU

EU fluid milk imports to rise 3.4% in 2027 as UK supply recovers

The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts EU fluid milk imports at 750,000 tonnes in 2027, up 3.4% from low 2026 levels, as UK milk production recovers. EU27 fluid milk exports are forecast to fall 2.7% in 2027 on weaker demand from China and the UK, while other Asian buyers gain share.

WHY IT MATTERS

Shifts in EU fluid milk trade flows change how much milk is directed to processing in Ireland and where EU exports go, which has only a limited effect on feed-relevant dairy markets. The export outlook is a minor signal for dairy commodity prices.

AFFECTSMilk (Class III)

SOURCE
thedairysite.comMelanie EppNov 12, 2026

Price reaction & history

Milk (Class III)no directional read

After 664 past report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.5%), and -0.1% over 20.

Aug 9, 2021U.S. milk-fat supply climbed from 2000 to 2019, as did the use of milk fat in cheese and butter production | Economic Research Service+1.1%
Nov 29, 2017Exports key to higher milk prices in 2018-8.3%
Dec 24, 20222023 unlikely to be as kind to milk producers as 2022-0.3%
Jul 29, 2020Few surprises in the USDA cattle reports | AGDAILY+0.5%
Jul 10, 2026USDA Raises 2026, 2027 Milk Production Forecasts, Lowers Most Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter+0.4%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

Milk (Class III) MILK · GP ▸

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