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The US Dollar Index extended its rally to above 103, its highest since April 2025, after hot inflation data and hawkish Fed comments. Gold fell below $4,000 as the dollar strengthened.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers, which can weigh on US grain and meal export competitiveness and pressure futures prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.