GrainCorp sites received 1,980,800 tonnes of grain from October 1 to the update date, excluding direct-to-port deliveries. Widespread rain has delayed harvest in parts of Queensland and northern New South Wales but supports summer-crop prospects.
Deliveries are led by canola, barley and wheat in southern NSW and mainly barley in Victoria.
Intake pace is slightly behind last year's early-season totals, and rain delays could slow near-term supply. Better summer-crop prospects support the outlook, so the price effect is limited for now.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.