
Paris wheat futures rose as peace talks in Abu Dhabi ended without a safe-shipping agreement for Russian and Ukrainian Black Sea exports. Attacks on ports and shipping have sharply restricted those flows, while a hit on Russia’s Baltic export port of Ust-Luga added to market concerns.
Traders expected EU exporters, including France, to meet some demand, though Algeria’s tender was expected to source substantially from Argentina.
Continued disruption to Black Sea exports could sustain demand for EU wheat and support prices, although Argentine supply may limit the benefit for European sellers.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.