
Ukraine’s fertilizer imports were reported to be very low, while October production of all fertilizer types was about 157,000 tonnes. Ostchem announced recommended delivered prices for nitrogen fertilizers effective November 11, and agricultural groups were preparing tenders for initial spring supplies as prices were expected to rise further.
Low imports and limited domestic output could leave less fertilizer available ahead of spring demand, supporting higher prices and raising input costs for Ukrainian crop producers.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.