BBH said hotter-than-expected US October CPI triggered a broad dollar rally, a Treasury sell-off led by short-term bonds, and declines in US stocks. The inflation surprise shifted the December Fed debate toward a 25- or 50-basis-point hike, with futures pricing up to a 15% chance of a 50-basis-point increase.
Higher expected US rates may support the dollar and increase the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for buyers using weaker currencies. The mechanism is indirect and macroeconomic, rather than a change in feed supply or demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.