
Rainfall in India’s Amravati division was about 40% below average, reducing cotton and soybean yields. Farmers have held back cotton in anticipation of higher prices after Diwali, lowering market arrivals, while soybean prices have fluctuated and arrivals have fallen.
Weather-related yield losses could tighten local soybean supply, while farmers’ delayed sales temporarily restrict market availability; both effects may support prices. Lower cotton yields and reduced arrivals may also firm cotton prices, but cotton is not a listed commodity symbol.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.