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EUR/USD bounced off support at 1.0710 but is attempting to move lower. Barclays attributes further downside to widening US-euro area two-year rate differentials and rising euro area political risk premia after Trump's election.
Wider rate differentials and political risk support a stronger dollar against the euro, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and shifts relative export competitiveness for feed grains.
forexcrunch.comYohay ElamNov 16, 2016After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
