
US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said the Fed would be patient on raising interest rates, which weakened the US dollar index, down 0.52% year-to-date to 95.67. The Bloomberg Commodity Index rose 3.8% year-to-date to 79.66.
Jim Rogers said another commodity boom is unlikely soon and warned of a coming recession.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, supporting grain and oilseed prices. Rogers' recession warning points to weaker demand ahead.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.