
The Bank of England reported that UK front-month gas futures averaged 216 pence per therm over the 15 working days to October 27, 27% above its July adverse-scenario assumption for the fourth quarter. Brent crude averaged $108 per barrel over the same period, 5% above its comparable stress-case assumption.
The higher-than-assumed gas and oil averages signal greater energy-cost pressure than the Bank had built into its stress scenario, supporting energy prices and potentially raising costs across feed supply chains.
After 74 past bullish report events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -4.0% to +11.3%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.