Senior U.S. and Chinese trade officials discussed implementation of prior commitments in a video call ahead of a leaders’ meeting. The U.S. urged China to meet its pledge to buy 25 million tonnes of U.S. soybeans annually and an additional $17 billion in U.S. agricultural products; China tied its reluctance to buy to U.S. restrictions and the lack of reciprocal tariff cuts.
China’s purchases falling short of the pledges leave U.S. export demand uncertain, especially for soybeans. A resolution on tariffs could support buying, while continued disputes would weigh on demand expectations.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.