
The incoming head of Aprosoja-MT warned that irregular rainfall and El Niño concerns are raising risks for farmers during the 2026/27 planting season. He cited high debt, rising costs and restricted credit, while noting that 75.81% of the planned area had been planted at the time of the interview and that major crop damage had not yet occurred.
Uncertain rainfall could threaten soybean and corn yields if it disrupts planting or crop development, while financial strain may limit farmers’ ability to manage risks. No substantial crop losses are reported, so the price implication remains limited for now.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.