Loading…
Brazil's Ibovespa equity index jumped 4.1 percent, its biggest gain in two years, as the real strengthened to a two-month high. Petrobras shares rose more than 8 percent and bonds rallied alongside, as investors reacted to Jair Bolsonaro taking a commanding lead in the presidential race.
Political outcomes favoring market-friendly policy strengthen the real, which makes Brazilian soy, corn and meal cheaper for foreign buyers and can pressure global feed prices. The effect on grain prices is indirect and modest.
bloomberg.comRita Nazareth, Aline Oyamada, Vinicius AndradeOct 8, 2018After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Ibovespa jumped 4.1% and the real hit a two-month high on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, a direct sentiment-driven capital inflow that strengthened BRL sharply.
Bloomberg reports the real hit a two-month high as investors rallied on Bolsonaro's commanding lead, which matches the sharp BRL per USD drop (BRL strengthening) through sentiment and capital inflows.
