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USDA's September report put 2017 spring wheat production at 416.2 million bushels, above the average pre-report estimate and the August figure. December spring wheat futures fell 21.25 cents after the release, though they held above the prior week's low.
Larger-than-expected northern spring wheat supply after drought losses is bearish for wheat prices and eases feed wheat substitution demand.
dtnpf.comCliff JamiesonSep 29, 2017After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA's September small grains report raised spring wheat production to 416.2M bu, above estimates, and December spring wheat futures dropped 21.25 cents, which spilled over into SRW.
The USDA spring wheat estimate came in above expectations and December spring wheat fell 21.25 cents, adding bearish supply pressure that carried into the next trading day.
