
A series of winter storms was lifting US natural gas demand, with futures up 19.2% from the end of January as of February 13. Storage inventories had fallen below the five-year average.
A 10% tariff on Canadian energy imports was announced but its implementation was paused until early March.
Below-average storage and storm-driven heating demand tighten supply and support gas prices, while the possible Canadian tariff adds upside risk to US gas costs.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Winter storms lifted demand, storage fell below the five-year average and futures were up 19% from end-January, showing the tightening fundamentals behind the rally.