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Natural gas futures gapped higher, rising over 8% in early trade on renewed concerns about a cold European winter and Europe's ability to refill storage without Russian imports. An IEA scenario flagged a possible 30 bcm shortfall for summer 2023 refilling.
Expectations of a colder Northwest Europe and tight refill needs for 2023 support gas prices, with knock-on effects for fertilizer and energy input costs.
ig.comIG AnalystNov 7, 2022After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Gap higher of over 8% in early trade on 11-07 on European cold-winter and storage refill concerns adds sentiment support, though it refers to European gas.
