
US natural gas futures fell about 4% to a six-week low on July 9, 2026, with the August contract at $3.073 per mmBtu. The drop followed Freeport LNG's planned maintenance from July 10 through late August and a storage build of 61 bcf, well above the 49 bcf analysts expected.
Lower 48 output was 109.7 bcfd so far in July.
Lower LNG feedgas during the Freeport outage and a larger storage build both signal weaker demand relative to supply. This points to lower natural gas prices through late summer.
After 29 past bearish logistics events, Natural Gas moved a median -9.8% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -20.0% to -3.1%), and -16.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.