
Drought and extreme summer temperatures in 2026 reduced French seed production, with the French Seed Producers’ Union estimating output at an average 65–70% of targets. Corn seed production is forecast at 65–70% of planned volume, sorghum at about 70%, and sunflower at 80–85%; farmers may rely more on seed retained on their own farms as some varieties become less available.
Reduced seed availability could constrain planting choices and shift demand toward farm-saved seed; drought-related forage shortfalls may also lift demand for silage corn. Lower seed output is a potential supply risk for the next crop cycle, especially for corn and sorghum.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.