Drought only re-emphasizes Mother Nature’s unpredictability

After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Nov 10, 2020U.S. corn crop’s growing sensitivity to drought revealed - Future Farming+9.7%
• Mar 26, 2025Expert predicts 60% chance of Midwest drought in 2025-0.0%
• Apr 15, 20212021: A Drought Year Like No Other! - AgWeb+2.3%
• Oct 26, 2020U.S. corn crop increasingly sensitive to drought - Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability+0.3%
• Sep 30, 2019Premature Plant Death Due to Drought Stress: Insult to Injury (Purdue University)-0.9%

After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Feb 14, 2023Soybean Meal Futures Rise On Argentina Drought+0.4%
• Mar 26, 2025Expert predicts 60% chance of Midwest drought in 2025+3.2%
• May 1, 2026Flash droughts reduce national-scale crop yields in the United States-0.4%
• Oct 17, 2025La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb+3.4%
• Aug 24, 2022Severe Droughts Amplify Fears Over Food Security | The Epoch Times-3.4%