
The dollar rose 0.44% against the Brazilian real to R$5.511 on Friday, while the DXY gained 0.76%. US payrolls increased by 165,000, above the 65,000 expected, and unemployment fell from September’s 4.2%, strengthening expectations of a resilient labor market and influencing views on Federal Reserve policy.
Stronger US employment data can support expectations of tighter US monetary policy and a firmer dollar. A stronger dollar against the real raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced imported feed and agricultural inputs.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.