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Malaysian palm oil futures fell to near an eight-month low as September production rose 16.5% month on month to 2.12 million tonnes, stocks climbed 31.9% to 2.16 million tonnes, and exports declined 12.1% to 1.12 million tonnes. Indonesia is preparing a revised export-levy structure, while Malaysian producers have called for an export-duty waiver to help clear surplus stocks.
Rising Malaysian inventories alongside weaker exports point to ample near-term supply and pressure palm oil prices. Changes to Indonesia's export levy could alter export flows and add uncertainty to competing supply.
palmoileconomics.comNov 7, 2026After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
