Indian equity indices have rebounded more than 10% from recent lows and are about 5% below their highs, supported by strong corporate earnings. The rupee strengthened to 93.90 per dollar on Friday as oil prices fell sharply and foreign investors bought nearly $4 billion of Indian equities over the past fortnight.
Lower oil prices and portfolio inflows have supported the rupee, reducing the local-currency cost of imported feed and energy. A stronger currency can improve import purchasing power, though the story does not indicate a direct change in commodity supply or demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.