
Thailand’s central bank expects inflation to remain near 4% in the fourth quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, driven by higher oil and fresh-food prices. It kept the policy rate unchanged and said it would monitor risks related to the Middle East war and energy-price support measures.
Higher oil costs can raise transport and production expenses across supply chains, adding cost pressure for feed buyers; the expected later easing in inflation may limit the duration of that pressure. The rate hold provides no immediate additional policy-driven currency signal.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.