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Russia’s National Rice Union said paddy procurement prices have moved about 2 rubles per kilogram above the break-even level, rising by 1–1.5 rubles per kilogram each ten-day period. The 2026 harvest is forecast at about 800,000 tonnes, down 400,000 tonnes from last year, following a 24% reduction in planted area; the union expects domestic demand to be covered, with some surplus available for EAEU markets.
A smaller crop and reduced planted area tighten Russian rice supply and support domestic prices, although the forecast surplus limits concern about domestic availability.
paragro.ruNov 6, 2026After 88 past bullish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
