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ING revised its USD/CNY forecast to 7.0 by the end of 2018, citing new policies that open Chinese markets to foreign investment in sectors including agriculture and those hit by tariffs. ING also reported that China plans to restrict offshore dollar bond issuance to tenors of at least 365 days.
ING sees these steps as signals that authorities are increasingly prepared for a weaker yuan.
A weaker yuan forecast raises the dollar cost of US farm imports for China, which can reduce purchasing of soybeans and feed ingredients. Opening agriculture to foreign investment could over time affect China's domestic feed supply and import needs.
think.ing.comJun 29, 2018After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
