Donau Soja forecasts EU soybean production will fall about 20% in 2026, from 2.97 million metric tons in 2025 to roughly 2.36 million tons, after heat and drought cut yields. Non-GM soybean prices reached €513–530 per ton in October, while the EU remains only 8% self-sufficient in soybeans.
A smaller EU crop tightens local soybean availability and increases reliance on imports, supporting soybean prices and costs for processors and feed manufacturers.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.