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Forecasts for the first half of November in France have shifted from cold and dry to milder and wetter. The conditions are expected to support winter-cereal and rapeseed development, although they may also increase slug and aphid risks; soft-wheat sowing was 84% complete by November 2, 11 percentage points ahead of the five-year average.
Improved moisture and temperatures could support establishment of French winter wheat and rapeseed, reducing weather-related production risk and potentially weighing on prices if crop prospects improve.
terre-net.frMarius GarrigueNov 6, 2026After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
