The euro traded around $1.1179 on Friday, reversing gains made after the US midterm elections and returning to around its level at the end of the prior week. German industrial production data had little impact, while traders focused on the upcoming US labor-market report for clues about Federal Reserve policy.
A weaker euro against the dollar pressures EUR/USD, while the US jobs report could shift expectations for Fed policy and currency demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.