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EU and UK winter rapeseed plantings for the 2027 harvest are forecast to decline about 8% to 6.23 million hectares, with a downside scenario of an 18% drop to 5.52 million hectares. Dry conditions during August and September hindered sowing and crop establishment; sunflower area could reach a record 5.2 million hectares as farmers shift crop choices.
Reduced rapeseed area could tighten future European oilseed supply and support rapeseed prices, while record sunflower plantings may increase sunflower availability and weigh on sunflower prices. Some area may also move to corn, potentially adding to future grain supply.
ukragroconsult.comNov 6, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
