
Arkansas soybean harvest was 94% complete as of November 4, with cotton at 92% and peanuts at 78%. Dry autumn weather helped harvesting progress, but summer heat and drought contributed to reports of soybean yields of 30–40 bushels per acre in some fields that had appeared capable of producing 70–80 bushels; these reports are not statewide averages.
Heat and drought-related yield losses could reduce Arkansas soybean availability and support local soybean prices, though the reported field results do not establish a statewide production decline.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.