
Chicago wheat gained 12% over the week to $5.55 1/2 a bushel and Euronext wheat rose 8% to €186.75 a tonne as shoppers stockpiled pasta, flour and bread amid the coronavirus crisis. Governments and North African buyers also added to strategic inventories, and emerging market currencies fell heavily.
Panic buying and government stock-building add sustained demand for wheat, pushing prices sharply higher across Chicago and Paris and raising feed grain costs. Weaker emerging market currencies also lift import costs for those buyers.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.