The dollar weakened after US consumer price inflation for October came in below forecasts at 7.7% year-on-year. The yuan jumped after Chinese health authorities eased quarantine rules for close contacts and inbound travelers.
A softer dollar and easing of China's zero-COVID rules reduce pressure on emerging-market currencies and improve Chinese buying power for dollar-priced commodities.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Below-forecast US inflation weakened the dollar and the COVID protocol easing lifted the yuan sharply, the main single-day driver of the decline in USD/CNY.
Below-forecast US inflation weakened the dollar and the COVID quarantine easing triggered a yuan jump on Nov 11, the main leg of the move.
The dollar weakened on soft CPI while the yuan jumped on eased Chinese COVID rules, adding to risk-on dollar selling.