
Dry late-summer conditions continue to weigh on crops across the Île-de-France plain. Rapeseed has been hit by drought and pest attacks, with nearly half of seeded fields in Essonne at risk, while winter cereal sowing is largely finished under good conditions.
Sugar beet and maize harvests are very uneven, with some beet fields yielding little or nothing.
Poor rapeseed establishment and reduced beet output tighten European oilseed and sugar supplies, supporting meal and oil prices and limiting feed ingredient availability in the EU.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.