
USD/CAD fell to 1.3930 on November 4, its lowest since mid-September, as the US dollar weakened after the midterm elections and the Bank of Canada raised rates. The move occurred the same day Brent crude dropped 8.9% to $94.29 a barrel.
Currency moves here mainly affect Canadian export competitiveness and the cost of imported feed for North American buyers, while the sharp oil decline reflects reduced Iran war risk premium.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.