
The rupee rose 0.3 per cent to 94.36 against the dollar after a sharp fall in crude prices. The 10-year government bond yield dropped 8 basis points to 7.11 per cent.
An expert said the rupee may struggle to strengthen much beyond the 93-94 range.
Lower crude reduces India's inflation risk and the cost of imported energy, which supports the currency and bonds. The limited upside for the rupee suggests oil remains the main swing factor for its value.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.