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Agrarticker's daily roundup reports that Russia is raising its grain export tax, alongside items on weaker grain prices after the US midterm elections and falling crude oil. It also notes a grain harvest surge in Ukraine caused by intensified Russian attacks on logistics infrastructure, and first freighters passing the Kerch Strait as Ukraine-Russia sectoral ceasefire talks continue.
A higher Russian export tax reduces farm-gate returns and can curb Russian wheat offers, supporting prices, while Ukrainian export disruptions and crude weakness pull in opposite directions.
agrarticker.deNov 4, 2026After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
