
Oil prices doubled over five days into early May 2020 and rose above $25 a barrel in New York. Russian output fell 16% in early May, Permian shut-ins were expected near 1 million b/d, and OPEC+ began 9.7 million b/d of cuts on May 1.
Analysts still expected demand to take at least a year to return to pre-virus levels.
Large supply curtailments and a demand floor lift crude costs and reduce the risk of storage shortages, supporting energy-linked feed and biofuel input prices.
After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Explains the doubling of oil over five days into early May through OPEC+ 9.7m b/d cuts, Russian and Permian output drops and stabilizing demand.